Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 101.679587 117.214788 135.633200 159.455490 190.028725 2.288009e+02 283.173087
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 80.753841 99.126611 123.183856 158.213781 210.260754 2.892596e+02 429.282209
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 67.622761 86.392334 112.622451 154.106140 222.918387 3.441340e+02 612.519275
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 59.643639 78.567892 106.397364 153.494064 239.474728 4.138550e+02 905.328062
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 54.366458 73.484568 102.853635 155.642808 261.089925 5.079739e+02 1434.866898
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 49.842484 68.743789 98.806554 155.588402 278.172161 6.064022e+02 2302.782750
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 44.873611 62.646690 91.518623 147.760699 275.427248 6.504017e+02 3166.023634
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 42.552635 60.450917 90.430925 151.567784 301.483214 8.144095e+02 6724.671163
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 39.428729 56.595546 85.883356 147.307864 305.498968 9.062709e+02 12299.046618
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 37.554599 54.620292 84.430487 149.289027 327.780829 1.116823e+03 47286.964580
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 35.228697 51.660117 80.791030 145.678176 332.243444 1.251048e+03 285324.392635
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 34.619923 51.590828 82.572644 154.932354 382.998690 1.826448e+03 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 34.802450 53.295323 88.801899 179.070142 518.828544 4.510908e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 32.636313 50.557785 85.720955 178.557600 559.069488 7.213843e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 30.415560 47.500108 81.538464 173.884286 577.430339 1.080614e+04 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 28.750346 45.326548 78.953721 173.211120 619.462039 2.134856e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 27.487473 43.795184 77.555691 175.796972 688.101615 7.673558e+04 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 26.195214 42.082645 75.504139 175.735617 743.031615 8.470758e+05 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 24.499902 39.441474 71.001338 166.385372 718.071008 4.462696e+06 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 23.732222 38.585756 70.573224 170.928371 817.873554 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 22.531020 36.765097 67.636817 165.845978 826.195435 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 21.801704 35.849750 66.784890 168.208122 918.210818 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 20.817541 34.343588 64.323388 163.904983 932.495252 NaN NaN